538 Polls 2024 Forecast

538 Polls 2024 Forecast. Yet our forecast for the 2024 election has moved very little. An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 house of representatives elections.

When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Harris wins pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin, matching biden’s 2020 outcome in those states.